There are moments in my life where I just make assumptions of the cause that led up to that particular effect at hand. These assumed causes create a post hoc ergo propter hoc, which is essentially jumping to a conclusion by thinking that whatever happened after that occurrence is the cause of it. It's a person's way of using their imagination to come up with a cause in order to understand the reasoning behind it. Yet, jumping to a conclusion omits any chance of other causes being the reason of the effect. Example: Ever since Mia Hamm visited our soccer team during practice, we have been on a winning streak by beating our opponents at every soccer match. --> This reasoning that the soccer team is winning all their games ever since Mia Hamm made a special appearance during their practice is a mere coincidence. The reason the soccer team is on a winning streak could be due to the players practicing more or their determination to win in each match.
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